A global climate deal
After two weeks of furious debate, diplomats from nearly 200 countries at the U.N. climate summit in Dubai reached a sweeping agreement that explicitly called for “transitioning away from fossil fuels.”
The deal calls on countries to quit adding carbon dioxide to the atmosphere entirely by midcentury, to triple the amount of renewable energy installed around the world by 2030 and to slash emissions of methane, a greenhouse gas.
For insight, we turned to our colleague Lisa Friedman, who was in Dubai to cover the COP28 summit.
What was different about this climate summit?
Lisa: Having a conference in a petrostate was never going to be easy. But as someone who has now covered 12 of these COPs, I think it was very eye-opening. All around us every day, we were confronted with the spoils of oil.
At the same time, you have this very stark contrast of small island leaders and others essentially telling the U.A.E. and the Saudis that their luxury is coming at the expense of island nations’ very existence. For me, the location of the summit really underscores all of the needs of various countries that the U.N. must balance.
How was the agreement reached?
European leaders and many of the nations most vulnerable to climate-fueled extreme weather were urging language that called for a complete “phaseout” of fossil fuels. But that was facing pushback from major oil producers led by Saudi Arabia. In the end, they found a middle ground.
How do countries feel about the agreement?
It left some — particularly island leaders — deeply dissatisfied. In fact, many island leaders said that they didn’t even have a chance to offer changes or relay concerns before Sultan Al Jaber, the Emirati oil executive presiding over the conference, gaveled through the decision and declared it adopted by consensus.
At the same time, it’s notable that it took 28 of these annual conferences on climate change before governments would be willing to name the elephant in the room — fossil fuels — the burning of which is the main driver of planetary warming.
What’s your main takeaway from the final agreement?
The decision was a compromise, and it should be regarded as such. But it’s an important one. Many leaders have said it sends the signal that the era of fossil fuels is coming to an end, which is something I could not imagine this body doing even five years ago.
Netanyahu’s rift with Biden
A disagreement with the U.S. over what a postwar Gaza Strip should look like poses risks for the Israeli government, headed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu — including how much support it may hope to receive, analysts said. But it also offers Netanyahu an opportunity to repair his domestic approval ratings by presenting himself as a leader unbowed by foreign demands.
Israeli officials indicated that they would not be deterred by growing condemnation from the international community, a day after President Biden highlighted the risk of a loss of support. Jake Sullivan, the U.S. national security adviser, is expected to arrive in Jerusalem this week to discuss the war and its possible aftermath with Netanyahu.
Analysis: “He’s looking at a potential election campaign a few months down the road,” Itamar Rabinovich, a former Israeli ambassador to the U.S., said of Netanyahu. “This is going to be his platform: ‘I am the leader who can stand up to Biden and prevent a Palestinian state.’”
A new urgency grips Ukraine
Its counteroffensive having failed, its supplies and support dwindling, Ukraine finds itself at a pivotal moment, while Moscow — once confronting the consequences of a disastrous invasion — is celebrating its capacity to sustain a drawn-out war.
Ukraine must now shift to a defensive posture as it braces for a harsh winter of Russian strikes and energy shortages. The U.S., its most important backer, has become preoccupied by the war in Gaza, and the possible return to office of Donald Trump, a longtime Ukraine detractor, is looming.